sprockets Rubik's Cube Nidaros Cathedral Tongue Sandwich A:M Composite Kaleidoscope Swamp Demon Caboose
sprockets
Recent Posts | Unread Content | Previous Banner Topics
Jump to content
Hash, Inc. - Animation:Master

Roger

*A:M User*
  • Posts

    2,058
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    46

Posts posted by Roger

  1. When I was little the spin was that more automation would give us all more "leisure time". There was even a leisure suit you could wear. :lol:

     

    We'd all be able to do the same job in less time for the same money. But instead of 40 people working one hour per week what we have is one person working 40 hours and 39 people out of work completely. And that one person working still has to have a second job because the one job doesn't pay enough.

     

    Yeah, more or less. In raw dollar amounts, I'm probably making about the same as what my dad was when he was my age, problem is my purchasing power is probably 25-50% less due to inflation.

    I think one dollar earned in the 70s is worth maybe 25 cents today? (assuming you just stuck it in a jar). I'm comfortable enough as a single guy with no kids, but if I had a family that money would not go as far. My health insurance would probably be $600 a month, for one thing.

     

    So what is the ultimate result, do you suppose? Eventually we get to most of the population working 2 or 3 jobs and no one has anything to spend on other than essentials? I'm not sure what percentage of the economy consumer spending is, but at some point the folks at the top aren't going to be able to pay their bills (unless they are focusing on emerging markets and just writing the lot of us off).

  2. Yeah, that's a buttload of Legos. I think someone did replicas of Sauron's and Saruman's towers, as well. I don't think I'd have nearly the budget for the bricks. Surely they have some kind of bulk discount?

  3. The thesis in general is a valid one, but claiming that Instagram replaces the functions of Kodak is a poor factoid. There is no Instagram product that can take a picture.

     

    And this one...

     

    early audio recordings, which today would sound horrible to us, were indistinguishable between real music to people who did double blind tests and whatnot.

     

    No, not for any normally hearing person. Advertisements claimed such things but back then advertisements claimed all sorts of crazy stuff that wasn't true.

     

    Yes, some of his specific examples are kinda flakey. I must have missed that 2nd quote on my first read of the article.

     

    However, the general trend is towards less labor over time. In the past, technological upheaval generally provided a whole new class of jobs. This doesn't seem to be the case this time.

    I really don't know how those jobs are going to be replaced.

  4. im sorry but im completely lost on this topic. so someone created a new virtual currency and people are paying upwards of $120 for 1 bitcoin? what???

    my brain just exploded.

     

    More or less, yes. I guess it has been around since late 2008, but I don't remember hearing about it until 2010 maybe?

    I guess if I had been running my dual-core AMD box 24/7 hashing bitcoins and then spent about $2000 on graphics cards in 2009

    and been running those full steam, I could have been sitting on a mess of bitcoins by now. Oh well, not like this is the first time I missed out on something. I'm sure it won't be the last. Maybe I'll get lucky and the missing out I'll be doing will be the "losing all my money speculating on a virtual currency".

  5. I have to admit, I just don't see what all the hype about bitcoin is? If you had put together a PC specifically for mining them and then sat on them for the last several years, you might potentially have a lot of money (assuming you didn't get your bitcoin wallet hacked).

    Now there are several companies selling bitcoing mining rigs that are *only* good for mining bitcoins. So if you spend a lot of money on one of these miners if bitcoins ever become worthless then you essentially have a useless hunk of hardware you can't do anything else with.

    I think the only people getting rich off bitcoins are the ones selling this gear or the person(s) that created this "currency", everyone else is chasing a dream of easy money. It all seems like a bubble to me, like the housing bubble or dotcom stock market craze.

  6. So am I not understanding something here, or are these nifty tools more or less useless for our purposes, since they aren't able to export any motion or rigging data to a format AM can use? Or am I completely mistaken but there is a way to do it?

  7. LOL. Not sure what use that is, but might be fun to make anyway :)

     

    One of the videos in the Youtube mosaic (not sure what else to call it) when the main one is done playing is for EEV Blog. Dave Jones cracks me up. "Oh! Beauty! We let the magic smoke out!"

  8. Here's a primer on it

     

    http://www.investopedia.com/university/margin/margin1.asp

     

     

    Historically, I think the percentage you could borrow was much higher in 1929 than it is today.

     

    The risk of losing everything in margin trading is much greater because a stock doesn't need to drop to zero, it just needs to drop enough so that what you do own isn't enough to pay the brokerage firm back for what they loaned you.

     

    I don't think the market is predictable enough to beat and I don't think anyone's research is worth much either. I recently inherited a bunch of stuff from my dad and as I've watched the various expert recommendations on them there seems to be no correlation between their "buy" and "sell" advice and what ends up happening with the stock. Right now we're in a booming market and that makes people look like geniuses who normally wouldn't look like geniuses.

     

    Yeah, I'm not nearly smart enough to think I can beat the market. My investment strategy consists of tucking away what I can in index funds that charge few or no fees, and trying to forget about it, other than checking my statements when they come in. As far as single stocks go, I try not to to invest in stuff I know nothing about.

  9. Again, I'm not a sophisticated investor (although I'm trying to educate myself) and maybe this is something that has always been around and never went away to begin with, and I'm confused as to exactly what regulations were put in place during the Depression to prevent further crashes. Has been a while since my high school and college econ classes. :)

  10. So I have been looking at opening a brokerage account, and have been checking out my options. I've noticed in my research that a few places offer margin trading? I thought margin trading was one of the things that led to the stock market crash of 1929 and was either tightly regulated or outright banned at that point? I know that a lot of tihngs that they put in place to protect against another Great Depression (like the Glass-Steagall act) have been dismantled, so is this something that changed?

    Anyone with more knowledge of this sort of thing want to explain to me why they might want to allow trading on margin again if it was regulated/banned at one point? Perhaps I'm mistaken and this has been around for a while. I have only really started investing in the last 8 years and am basically just parking my money in index funds, not trying to time the market or get fancy tracking an extensive portfolio.

  11. So for the time being I am working in v13 until I get my licensing issues sorted out.

     

    I thought I would start a goldfish model, something simple to get some practice in and I am happily modeling away and I think to myself "I should save this".

    So I got to File > Save Project as and I get a dialog with no place to input the name or hit "save". I can't resize it to get those things, either.

    Any thoughts as to what might be going on? I may be using v13 for a few days yet and don't want to not be able to save my work.

     

    I have posted a screen cap.

    save_dialog.jpg

  12. Well, I get if it was an entirely new laptop but just one component? Would it have done the same thing if I changed the memory?

    At any rate, I emailed support@hash.com so hopefully will be able to get this resolved soon. I guess I could just put the old drive back in, but that seems silly.

  13. Well I copied my master0.lic file from my external drive back over to my laptop, and I get the error "wrong host for license -4". Which confuses me as it is the same darn laptop, just with a bigger hard disk.

    What am I doing wrong? Do I need to request a new license/activation key from Hash?

  14. Yeah, I knew that. I had backed it up (or thought I had) to my flash drive. Which I found, btw, but it doesn't have the master0.lic file on it.

    So I need to pull it off the other drive, just don't feel like dismantling my laptop to do it (just yet). So I'll make do with my old disc-based version of AM until I get round to it. Maybe I'll practice rigging or do some tutorials in the meantime, since I won't be able to access my v17 data.

  15. So why is it that your ability to find an item is always inversely proportional to your need to find that item?

    I can't find my flash drive with my AM license backup, so now I will have to email Hash. I guess my other option is to put

    my old HD back in my laptop for a bit and pull it off there.

  16. rodney, i offered my help for free, so i guess that tells how i feel about supporting hash in any way

     

    Acknowledged. I wasn't trying to diminish your offer in any way.

    On the other hand, I do my very best to encourage people NOT to work for free.

     

    >

     

     

    *I hope at least some of the content of the animation sinks in.

    (Note that I do not agree with everything depicted in the animation. For instance, I think they've set the level of engagement too high on their chart. There is also an aspect where the engagement pyramid is inverted. This is especially true where communities of artists and animators retain high levels of individualism. In this sense the executive is the individual artist... and vice versa... as each individual gets their turn at being the creative head of their own project within their community.

     

    Blah blah blah... "manage synergy", "cascade goals", "paradigm"....snooze. Bet you could sell a lot of seats to MBAs and PHBs with that seminar. Maybe I picked the wrong line of work.

  17. i tell you why a good homepage with professional looking images is so important. and i don´t mean a image-gallery, big images of high-quality renders in the background, that you will immediately see, when you visit the page. i don´t know how you do it, but when i hear about a software, that i might be interested in, i look for their homepage. if that´s what i see there looks kinda homemade and unprofessional, i might loose interest very quickly. if what i see there looks top notch, and the images display exactly the output i would like to create myself, i will stay and get more info about it. i don´t say that a new page gets hash loads of new customers, but it´s essential for the image of a company, especially when that company is a software company. if it´s not that important, like few of you´re saying, why are big companies spending huge amounts of money on their web-appearance? i will give you a hint: because it IS important.

     

    and robert is right, the main reason why blender got so big is because it´s free. certainly not because it´s intuitive or better than others.

     

    I guess I don't see what it is that is displayed on the web page that looks that bad? 90 percent of the stuff that is in the marquee or was in the old format looks just fine to me.

     

    I get that everyone wants AM to be successful and there is a certain appeal to using what the "Hollywood pros" use. (There is a psychological term for this, the endowment effect, where an object takes on extra appeal because of who it is used by. A guitar owned and played by Jimi Hendrix is more valuable than one played by Joe Schmoe. It is the reason you see so many celebrity endorsements.)

     

    However, the value in AM is that we are open to everyone. It isn't exclusionary. You don't have to take out a 2nd mortage on your house to afford your tools. Heck, all you would have to do to get the money for AM is one odd job every week for a month for $20, and you would have the money.

×
×
  • Create New...